Matthew Green：AI 进展可能动摇现有公钥加密信心

Quoting Matthew Green

密码学家 Matthew Green 在 Twitter 上表示，他认为有 1% 的概率我们生活在 Minicrypt 世界，有 15% 的概率会实质性失去对现有公钥加密算法的信心。他指出，AI 制造意外与人类更换标准的速度相差几个数量级，只有提前做好准备才能从这类意外中恢复。Minicrypt 是 Russell Impagliazzo 提出的假想世界，其中公钥加密不可能实现。

引用 Matthew Green

乔木风格重写（向阳乔木 · deepseek-v4-flash）：密码学圈子里，最近有人在推特上扔了一颗不大不小的炸弹。 Matthew Green 说，大家都太在意体面了，所以由他来当那个提出最坏情况的傻瓜。 他给了两个数字： 有 1% 的概率，我们生活在一个 Minicrypt 世界里；有 15% 的概率，我们会从功能上对现有的公钥加密算法彻底失去信心。 这两个数字不是随口说的。Green 是密码学领域的知名学者，他愿...

Quoting Matthew Green

Everyone is very concerned about being respectable, so I’m going to be the goofball who raises worst-case possibilities. I think there is a 1% chance we live in Minicrypt, and a 15% chance we functionally lose confidence in our existing public-key encryption algorithms. [...] The problem here is that the speed of AI producing surprises, and the speed of human beings replacing standards (even with the very best AI assistance) are just orders of magnitude different. You only recover from a surprise like this if you do the preparation in advance. — Matthew Green, on Twitter. I looked it up and Minicrypt is Russell Impagliazzo’s hypothetical world in which public-key encryption is impossible. Tags: ai-security-research, matthew-green, cryptography, standards, llms, ai, generative-ai